AITakeover Tracker
35%medium risk

Farm and Ranch Managers

SOC: 11-9013.02 · Job Zone 4 (Considerable preparation)

Plan, direct, or coordinate the management or operation of farms, ranches, greenhouses, aquacultural operations, nurseries, timber tracts, or other agricultural establishments. May hire, train, or supervise farm workers or contract for services to carry out the day-to-day activities of the managed operation. May engage in or supervise planting, cultivating, harvesting, financial, or marketing activities.

Medium RiskEst. full displacement: 20412051high confidence
Raw task score: 48.0Protective discount: 26.4%27 tasks scoredModel: v1.0_gemini-3-1-pro-preview_20260228

AI Impact Summary

Farm and Ranch Managers faces moderate AI displacement risk with a score of 35/100. Significant displacement is estimated between 2041 and 2051. Of 27 analyzed tasks, 3 are highly automatable, particularly in routine_cognitive. Strong protective factors — including social intelligence, creativity, or regulatory barriers — significantly reduce effective risk.

Protective Factors

Total protective discount: 26.4%

Skill Analysis

AI-Vulnerable Skills (6)

Mathematics10%

High reliance on Mathematics is a risk area. Consider developing complementary AI-resistant skills to maintain value.

Information Ordering5%

High reliance on Information Ordering is a risk area. Consider developing complementary AI-resistant skills to maintain value.

Reading Comprehension10%

High reliance on Reading Comprehension is a risk area. Consider developing complementary AI-resistant skills to maintain value.

Mathematics10%

High reliance on Mathematics is a risk area. Consider developing complementary AI-resistant skills to maintain value.

Memorization5%

Memorization is AI-vulnerable but has moderate importance in this role. AI tools may handle this; focus on higher-value skills.

Programming15%

Programming is AI-vulnerable but has moderate importance in this role. AI tools may handle this; focus on higher-value skills.

AI-Resistant Skills (7)

Coordination70%

Coordination is AI-resistant — strengthening this skill provides durable career protection.

Persuasion80%

Persuasion is AI-resistant — strengthening this skill provides durable career protection.

Complex Problem Solving75%

Complex Problem Solving is AI-resistant — strengthening this skill provides durable career protection.

Negotiation85%

Negotiation is AI-resistant — strengthening this skill provides durable career protection.

Social Perceptiveness90%

Social Perceptiveness is AI-resistant — strengthening this skill provides durable career protection.

Instructing75%

Instructing is AI-resistant — strengthening this skill provides durable career protection.

Manual Dexterity80%

Manual Dexterity is AI-resistant — strengthening this skill provides durable career protection.

AI-Augmented Skills (5)

Critical ThinkingJudgment and Decision MakingSystems AnalysisActive LearningWriting

Recommendations

Skills to Develop

These skills are at risk from AI automation. Farm and Ranch Managers professionals should diversify beyond them.

  • Mathematics

    High reliance on Mathematics is a risk area. Consider developing complementary AI-resistant skills to maintain value.

  • Information Ordering

    High reliance on Information Ordering is a risk area. Consider developing complementary AI-resistant skills to maintain value.

  • Reading Comprehension

    High reliance on Reading Comprehension is a risk area. Consider developing complementary AI-resistant skills to maintain value.

  • Mathematics

    High reliance on Mathematics is a risk area. Consider developing complementary AI-resistant skills to maintain value.

  • Memorization

    Memorization is AI-vulnerable but has moderate importance in this role. AI tools may handle this; focus on higher-value skills.

Skills to Leverage

These human-centric skills remain difficult for AI to replicate. Double down here.

  • Coordination

    Coordination is AI-resistant — strengthening this skill provides durable career protection.

  • Persuasion

    Persuasion is AI-resistant — strengthening this skill provides durable career protection.

  • Complex Problem Solving

    Complex Problem Solving is AI-resistant — strengthening this skill provides durable career protection.

  • Negotiation

    Negotiation is AI-resistant — strengthening this skill provides durable career protection.

  • Social Perceptiveness

    Social Perceptiveness is AI-resistant — strengthening this skill provides durable career protection.

Tools to Adopt

AI can amplify these skills. Learn the tools that augment rather than replace your work.

  • Critical Thinking

    Critical Thinking will be enhanced by AI. Develop expertise in using AI tools for this skill to increase productivity.

  • Judgment and Decision Making

    Judgment and Decision Making will be enhanced by AI. Develop expertise in using AI tools for this skill to increase productivity.

  • Systems Analysis

    Systems Analysis will be enhanced by AI. Develop expertise in using AI tools for this skill to increase productivity.

  • Active Learning

    Active Learning will be enhanced by AI. Develop expertise in using AI tools for this skill to increase productivity.

  • Writing

    Writing will be enhanced by AI. Develop expertise in using AI tools for this skill to increase productivity.

Task Breakdown

27 tasks analyzed

Operate or oversee the operations of dairy farms that produce bulk milk.

Non-Routine AnalyticalAI: 45Risk: 45.0Time: 3%

Inspect orchards or fields to determine crop maturity or condition or to detect disease or insect infestation.

Non-Routine AnalyticalAI: 70Risk: 55.0Time: 4%

Direct crop production operations, such as planning, tilling, planting, fertilizing, cultivating, spraying, or harvesting.

Non-Routine AnalyticalAI: 50Risk: 47.0Time: 6%

Monitor activities such as irrigation, chemical application, harvesting, milking, breeding, or grading to ensure adherence to safety regulations or standards.

Routine CognitiveAI: 80Risk: 81.2Time: 6%

Plan crop activities based on factors such as crop maturity or weather conditions.

Non-Routine AnalyticalAI: 70Risk: 55.0Time: 5%

Maintain financial, operational, production, or employment records for farms or ranches.

Routine CognitiveAI: 85Risk: 83.2Time: 5%

Direct the breeding or raising of stock, such as cattle, poultry, or honeybees, using recognized breeding practices to ensure stock improvement.

Non-Routine AnalyticalAI: 60Risk: 51.0Time: 4%

Obtain financing necessary for purchases of machinery, land, supplies, or livestock.

Non-Routine InterpersonalAI: 30Risk: 27.0Time: 3%

Inspect farm or ranch equipment to ensure proper functioning.

Non-Routine ManualAI: 20Risk: 17.0Time: 4%

Buy or sell futures contracts or price farm products in advance of future sales to minimize risk or maximize profits.

Non-Routine AnalyticalAI: 70Risk: 55.0Time: 2%

Plan and direct development or production of hardier or higher-yield hybrid plant varieties.

Non-Routine AnalyticalAI: 70Risk: 55.0Time: 2%

Monitor pasture or grazing land use to ensure that livestock are properly fed or that conservation methods, such as rotational grazing, are used.

Non-Routine AnalyticalAI: 65Risk: 53.0Time: 3%

Monitor and adjust irrigation systems to distribute water according to crop needs and to avoid wasting water.

Non-Routine ManualAI: 30Risk: 21.0Time: 3%

Negotiate with buyers for the sale, storage, or shipment of crops or livestock.

Non-Routine InterpersonalAI: 25Risk: 25.0Time: 4%

Analyze soil to determine types or quantities of fertilizer required for maximum crop production.

Non-Routine AnalyticalAI: 70Risk: 55.0Time: 3%

Evaluate marketing or sales alternatives for farm or ranch products.

Non-Routine AnalyticalAI: 65Risk: 53.0Time: 4%

Direct livestock or crop waste recycling operations.

Non-Routine AnalyticalAI: 50Risk: 47.0Time: 2%

Prepare budgets or financial reports for farm or ranch operations.

Routine CognitiveAI: 85Risk: 83.2Time: 4%

Determine types or quantities of crops or livestock to be raised, according to factors such as market conditions, federal programs or incentives, or soil conditions.

Non-Routine AnalyticalAI: 70Risk: 55.0Time: 5%

Demonstrate or explain working techniques, practices, or safety regulations to farm or ranch workers.

Non-Routine InterpersonalAI: 25Risk: 25.0Time: 4%

Hire, train, or supervise workers engaged in planting, cultivating, irrigating, harvesting, or marketing crops, or in raising livestock.

Non-Routine InterpersonalAI: 25Risk: 25.0Time: 6%

Analyze market conditions to determine acreage allocations.

Non-Routine AnalyticalAI: 70Risk: 55.0Time: 3%

Select or purchase machinery, equipment, livestock, or supplies, such as seed, feed, fertilizer, or chemicals.

Non-Routine AnalyticalAI: 60Risk: 51.0Time: 5%

Inspect farm or ranch structures, such as buildings, fences, or roads, ordering repair or maintenance activities, as needed.

Non-Routine ManualAI: 30Risk: 21.0Time: 4%

Replace chemical insecticides with environmentally friendly practices, such as adding pest-repelling plants to fields.

Non-Routine AnalyticalAI: 60Risk: 51.0Time: 2%

Supervise the construction of farm or ranch structures, such as buildings, fences, drainage systems, wells, or roads.

Non-Routine InterpersonalAI: 20Risk: 23.0Time: 2%

Change processes such as drying, grading, storing, or shipping to improve efficiency or profitability.

Non-Routine AnalyticalAI: 65Risk: 53.0Time: 2%

Community Assessment

Do you agree with this risk score?

Career Planning

Explore other career paths

Compare displacement risk across occupations and find careers with stronger long-term prospects.