AITakeover Tracker
45%medium risk

Air Traffic Controllers

SOC: 53-2021.00 · Job Zone 3 (Medium preparation)

Control air traffic on and within vicinity of airport and movement of air traffic between altitude sectors and control centers according to established procedures and policies. Authorize, regulate, and control commercial airline flights according to government or company regulations to expedite and ensure flight safety.

MediumEst. full displacement: 20382046high confidence
Raw task score: 61.4Protective discount: 26.1%23 tasks scoredModel: v1.0_gemini-3-1-pro-preview_20260228

AI Impact Summary

Air Traffic Controllers faces moderate AI displacement risk with a score of 45/100. Significant displacement is estimated between 2038 and 2046. Of 23 analyzed tasks, 11 are highly automatable, particularly in routine_cognitive. Strong protective factors — including social intelligence, creativity, or regulatory barriers — significantly reduce effective risk.

Wage & Employment (2024)

Median Wage

$144,580

per year

Mean Wage

$142,740

per year

Employment

22K

workers

Wage Range

$76,090 - $210,410

10th - 90th pct

Wage Distribution

$76,090Median: $144,580$210,410

Protective Factors

Total protective discount: 26.1%

Skill Analysis

AI-Vulnerable Skills (6)

Information Ordering5%

High reliance on Information Ordering is a risk area. Consider developing complementary AI-resistant skills to maintain value.

Reading Comprehension10%

High reliance on Reading Comprehension is a risk area. Consider developing complementary AI-resistant skills to maintain value.

Mathematics10%

High reliance on Mathematics is a risk area. Consider developing complementary AI-resistant skills to maintain value.

Memorization5%

Memorization is AI-vulnerable but has moderate importance in this role. AI tools may handle this; focus on higher-value skills.

Mathematics10%

Mathematics is AI-vulnerable but has moderate importance in this role. AI tools may handle this; focus on higher-value skills.

Programming15%

Programming is AI-vulnerable but has moderate importance in this role. AI tools may handle this; focus on higher-value skills.

AI-Resistant Skills (7)

Complex Problem Solving75%

Complex Problem Solving is AI-resistant — strengthening this skill provides durable career protection.

Coordination70%

Coordination is AI-resistant — strengthening this skill provides durable career protection.

Social Perceptiveness90%

Social Perceptiveness is AI-resistant — strengthening this skill provides durable career protection.

Instructing75%

Instructing is AI-resistant — strengthening this skill provides durable career protection.

Persuasion80%

Persuasion is AI-resistant — strengthening this skill provides durable career protection.

Negotiation85%

Negotiation is AI-resistant — strengthening this skill provides durable career protection.

Manual Dexterity80%

Manual Dexterity is AI-resistant — strengthening this skill provides durable career protection.

AI-Augmented Skills (5)

Judgment and Decision MakingCritical ThinkingActive LearningSystems AnalysisWriting

Recommendations

Skills to Develop

These skills are at risk from AI automation. Air Traffic Controllers professionals should diversify beyond them.

  • Information Ordering

    High reliance on Information Ordering is a risk area. Consider developing complementary AI-resistant skills to maintain value.

  • Reading Comprehension

    High reliance on Reading Comprehension is a risk area. Consider developing complementary AI-resistant skills to maintain value.

  • Mathematics

    High reliance on Mathematics is a risk area. Consider developing complementary AI-resistant skills to maintain value.

  • Memorization

    Memorization is AI-vulnerable but has moderate importance in this role. AI tools may handle this; focus on higher-value skills.

  • Mathematics

    Mathematics is AI-vulnerable but has moderate importance in this role. AI tools may handle this; focus on higher-value skills.

Skills to Leverage

These human-centric skills remain difficult for AI to replicate. Double down here.

  • Complex Problem Solving

    Complex Problem Solving is AI-resistant — strengthening this skill provides durable career protection.

  • Coordination

    Coordination is AI-resistant — strengthening this skill provides durable career protection.

  • Social Perceptiveness

    Social Perceptiveness is AI-resistant — strengthening this skill provides durable career protection.

  • Instructing

    Instructing is AI-resistant — strengthening this skill provides durable career protection.

  • Persuasion

    Persuasion is AI-resistant — strengthening this skill provides durable career protection.

Tools to Adopt

AI can amplify these skills. Learn the tools that augment rather than replace your work.

  • Judgment and Decision Making

    Judgment and Decision Making will be enhanced by AI. Develop expertise in using AI tools for this skill to increase productivity.

  • Critical Thinking

    Critical Thinking will be enhanced by AI. Develop expertise in using AI tools for this skill to increase productivity.

  • Active Learning

    Active Learning will be enhanced by AI. Develop expertise in using AI tools for this skill to increase productivity.

  • Systems Analysis

    Systems Analysis will be enhanced by AI. Develop expertise in using AI tools for this skill to increase productivity.

  • Writing

    Writing will be enhanced by AI. Develop expertise in using AI tools for this skill to increase productivity.

Task Breakdown

23 tasks analyzed

Inform pilots about nearby planes or potentially hazardous conditions, such as weather, speed and direction of wind, or visibility problems.

Routine CognitiveAI: 55Risk: 71.2Time: 8%

Issue landing and take-off authorizations or instructions.

Routine CognitiveAI: 50Risk: 69.2Time: 8%

Transfer control of departing flights to traffic control centers and accept control of arriving flights.

Routine CognitiveAI: 65Risk: 75.2Time: 5%

Provide flight path changes or directions to emergency landing fields for pilots traveling in bad weather or in emergency situations.

Non-Routine AnalyticalAI: 30Risk: 39.0Time: 3%

Alert airport emergency services in cases of emergency or when aircraft are experiencing difficulties.

Routine CognitiveAI: 65Risk: 75.2Time: 2%

Monitor or direct the movement of aircraft within an assigned air space or on the ground at airports to minimize delays and maximize safety.

Non-Routine AnalyticalAI: 40Risk: 43.0Time: 11%

Direct pilots to runways when space is available or direct them to maintain a traffic pattern until there is space for them to land.

Non-Routine AnalyticalAI: 35Risk: 41.0Time: 8%

Monitor aircraft within a specific airspace, using radar, computer equipment, or visual references.

Routine CognitiveAI: 80Risk: 81.2Time: 11%

Direct ground traffic, including taxiing aircraft, maintenance or baggage vehicles, or airport workers.

Routine CognitiveAI: 55Risk: 71.2Time: 4%

Contact pilots by radio to provide meteorological, navigational, or other information.

Routine CognitiveAI: 70Risk: 77.2Time: 4%

Maintain radio or telephone contact with adjacent control towers, terminal control units, or other area control centers to coordinate aircraft movement.

Routine CognitiveAI: 65Risk: 75.2Time: 5%

Determine the timing or procedures for flight vector changes.

Non-Routine AnalyticalAI: 35Risk: 41.0Time: 5%

Initiate or coordinate searches for missing aircraft.

Non-Routine AnalyticalAI: 45Risk: 45.0Time: 2%

Provide on-the-job training to new air traffic controllers.

Non-Routine InterpersonalAI: 15Risk: 21.0Time: 2%

Check conditions and traffic at different altitudes in response to pilots' requests for altitude changes.

Non-Routine AnalyticalAI: 45Risk: 45.0Time: 3%

Relay air traffic information, such as courses, altitudes, or expected arrival times, to control centers.

Routine CognitiveAI: 85Risk: 83.2Time: 3%

Inspect, adjust, or control radio equipment or airport lights.

Routine ManualAI: 35Risk: 47.0Time: 2%

Compile information about flights from flight plans, pilot reports, radar, or observations.

Routine CognitiveAI: 85Risk: 83.2Time: 3%

Organize flight plans or traffic management plans to prepare for planes about to enter assigned airspace.

Non-Routine AnalyticalAI: 55Risk: 49.0Time: 3%

Conduct pre-flight briefings on weather conditions, suggested routes, altitudes, indications of turbulence, or other flight safety information.

Non-Routine InterpersonalAI: 35Risk: 29.0Time: 2%

Analyze factors such as weather reports, fuel requirements, or maps to determine air routes.

Non-Routine AnalyticalAI: 70Risk: 55.0Time: 2%

Review records or reports for clarity and completeness and maintain records or reports as required under federal law.

Routine CognitiveAI: 85Risk: 83.2Time: 2%

Complete daily activity reports and keep records of messages from aircraft.

Routine CognitiveAI: 85Risk: 83.2Time: 2%

Community Assessment

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Career Planning

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